Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 39.59% ( | 25.47% ( | 34.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.02% ( | 47.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( | 70.15% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( | 23.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( | 58.16% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( | 26.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( | 61.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 1-2 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.93% |