Major League Soccer

Mar 24, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 3
Philadelphia

Rodriguez (80', 80')
Chara (24'), Chara (25')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Carranza (28', 28', 67', 67'), Sullivan (58', 58')
Sullivan (32'), Sullivan (32'), Elliott (40'), Elliott (40'), Semmle (88'), Semmle (88'), Uhre (90+6'), Uhre (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-0 Portland
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Austin 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Philadelphia Union
44.6% ( 0.69)	25% ( 0.1)	30.4% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 55.88% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

-0.78)

47.29% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.48% (

-0.73)

69.52% (

0.73)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

-0.02)

21.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

-0.02)

54.14% (

0.02)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94% (

-0.92)

29.06% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03% (

-1.15)

64.97% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 44.6%

Philadelphia Union 30.4%

Draw 25%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.6%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.4%