Major League Soccer

Apr 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Reliant Stadium

Houston
0 - 1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77'), Ferreira (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rigoni (86', 86')
Driussi (87'), Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3'), Zardes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 Houston
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 1-0 Austin
Sunday, April 14 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
64.36% ( -0.05)	20.54% ( 0.02)	15.1% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.79% (

-0.06)

45.21% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

-0.05)

67.55% (

0.05)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68% (

-0.03)

13.31% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.84% (

-0.06)

40.16% (

0.06)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.57% (

-0)

42.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.19% (

-0)

78.8%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 64.36%

Austin FC 15.1%

Draw 20.54%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
2-0 @ 11.48% 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 64.36%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.54%	0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.21% 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.1%