Major League Soccer

Apr 28, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
2 - 0
Houston

Musa (55', 55'), Ibeagha (80', 80')
Estevez (6'), Estevez (6'), Musa (16'), Musa (16'), Illarramendi (42'), Illarramendi (42'), Kamungo (73'), Kamungo (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Micael (62'), Micael (62'), Gaines (87'), Gaines (87')
Dorsey (5'), Dorsey (5')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Houston Dynamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 0-1 Austin
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
41.92% ( 0.2)	25.97% ( 0.05)	32.12% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 53.48% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.24% (

-0.27)

50.76% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

-0.24)

72.66% (

0.24)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

-0.02)

24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75% (

-0.03)

58.25% (

0.03)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0.3)

29.64% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

-0.37)

65.68% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Dallas 41.92%

Houston Dynamo 32.12%

Draw 25.96%

Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.92%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.12%