Major League Soccer

Apr 27, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
2 - 0
LA Galaxy

Rubio (7'), Obrian (19')
Obrian (27'), Pereira (43'), Valencia (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Caceres (9'), Puig (22')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Los Angeles Galaxy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 0-1 Austin
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-3 Earthquakes
Monday, April 22 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
46.14% ( 0.12)	22.87% ( 0.02)	30.99% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 63.77% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.93% (

-0.16)

37.07% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.74% (

-0.18)

59.26% (

0.18)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0.02)

16.5% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.76% (

-0.03)

46.24% (

0.03)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

-0.16)

23.62% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

-0.24)

57.71% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 46.14%

Los Angeles Galaxy 30.99%

Draw 22.86%

Austin FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.46% Total : 46.14%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.99%