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Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 12.45am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Tillman (4'), Bouanga (35' pen.)
Tillman (21'), Cherundolo (22'), Murillo (44'), Hollingshead (61'), Palencia (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aude (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 3-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

As inconsistent as LAFC have been throughout the year, it is always easy for them to bring up their intensity when playing their biggest rivals. For as much as the Galaxy have improved this season, they are still unstable on the back end, and we believe that could prove costly on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
59.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 20.47% (-0.055 -0.05) 20.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.59% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.89% (0.198 0.2)36.11% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.79% (0.217 0.22)58.21% (-0.216 -0.22)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.089999999999989 0.09)11.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.75% (0.188 0.19)37.25% (-0.187 -0.19)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.076000000000008 0.08)31.22% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (0.087000000000003 0.09)67.56% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 59.41%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 20.12%
    Draw 20.47%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 20.12%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs LA Galaxy

Los Angeles FC
54.5%
Draw
9.1%
Los Angeles Galaxy
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
4-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (24', 75'), Hollingshead (33'), Tillman (84')
Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90')
Sharp (25'), Yoshida (59')
Cuevas (43')
Jul 5, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Boyd (26'), Puig (73')
Edwards (34'), Costa (54'), Aude (72')
Sanchez (57')
Tillman (19'), Maldonado (70'), Duenas (82')
May 24, 2023
3.30am
Apr 16, 2023 9.30pm
Oct 21, 2022 3am
Conference Semi-Finals
Los Angeles
3-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (23', 80'), Arango (90+3')
Grandsir (44'), Joveljic (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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