Major League Soccer

Apr 7, 2024 at 12.45am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Tillman (4', 4'), Bouanga (35' pen., 35' pen.)
Tillman (21'), Tillman (21'), Cherundolo (22'), Cherundolo (22'), Murillo (44'), Murillo (44'), Hollingshead (61'), Hollingshead (61'), Palencia (75'), Palencia (76')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Aude (29', 29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 3-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
59.41% ( 0.1)	20.47% ( -0.05)	20.12% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 60.59% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.89% (

0.2)

36.11% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.79% (

0.22)

58.21% (

-0.22)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.09% (

0.09)

11.91% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.75% (

0.19)

37.25% (

-0.19)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

0.08)

31.22% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44% (

0.09)

67.56% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 59.41%

Los Angeles Galaxy 20.12%

Draw 20.47%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 59.41%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.47%	1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 20.12%