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Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Portland Timbers

Charlotte FC
2 - 0
Portland

Petkovic (54', 54'), Copetti (90+1', 90+1')
Dejaegere (45+5'), Tavares (45+3'), Dejaegere (45+5'), Tavares (45+3'), Bronico (77'), Bronico (82'), Privett (82'), Bronico (82'), Privett (82'), Diani (90+5'), Diani (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paredes (20'), Paredes (20'), Williamson (36'), Williamson (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawPortland Timbers
51.01% (-0.997 -1)23.76% (0.296 0.3)25.23% (0.701 0.7)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (-0.661 -0.66)45.28% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (-0.637 -0.64)67.62% (0.637 0.64)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)17.79% (0.62 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.5% (-1.079 -1.08)48.5% (1.079 1.08)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (0.22499999999999 0.22)31.85% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (0.254 0.25)68.29% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 51.01%
    Portland Timbers 25.23%
    Draw 23.76%
Charlotte FCDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.23%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Portland

Charlotte FC
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Portland Timbers
7.7%
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