Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Iuri Tavares 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Iuri Tavares 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Brecht Dejaegere 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Brecht Dejaegere 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Nikola Petkovic 54' goal
  • Nikola Petkovic 54' goal
  • Brandt Bronico 77' yellowcard
  • Brandt Bronico 82' yellowcard
  • Andrew Privett 82' yellowcard
  • Brandt Bronico 82' yellowcard
  • Andrew Privett 82' yellowcard
  • Enzo Copetti 90'+1' goal
  • Enzo Copetti 90'+1' goal
  • Djibril Diani 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Djibril Diani 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristhian Paredes 20'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Paredes 20'
  • yellowcard Eryk Williamson 36'
  • yellowcard Eryk Williamson 36'

Charlotte FC vs Portland Timbers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
NY City 2 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles 3 - 2 Portland
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jonathan Rodriguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result

Charlotte FC 51.01% (-1.00)
Draw 23.76% (+0.30)
Portland Timbers 25.23% (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.02% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.72% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 45.28% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 32.38% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 67.62% (+0.64)
Over 4.5 16.35% (-0.46)
Under 4.5 83.65% (+0.46)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 82.21% (-0.62)
Under 0.5 17.79% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 51.5% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 48.5% (+1.08)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 68.15% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 31.85% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 31.71% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 68.29% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Charlotte FC 51.01%
Draw 23.76%
Portland Timbers 25.23%
Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.78% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.67% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.76%
Portland Timbers
0-1 @ 6.48% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.71% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.44% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.23%