Major League Soccer

Apr 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
3 - 2
Toronto

Vargas (39', 39'), Abada (70', 70'), Agyemang (85', 85')
Abada (70'), Abada (70'), Lindsey (88'), Lindsey (88'), (90+3'), (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Osei Owusu (49', 49', 78', 78')
Coello (54'), Coello (54'), Osorio (58'), Osorio (58'), Long (84'), Long (84')
Long (90+8'), Long (90+8')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Toronto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	Toronto
61.41% ( 0.02)	22.32% ( -0.01)	16.26% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.98% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.49% (

0.03)

50.51% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.56% (

0.02)

72.43% (

-0.03)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

0.02)

15.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.72% (

0.03)

45.27% (

-0.03)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.92% (

44.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.81% (

0.01)

80.19% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 61.41%

Toronto 16.26%

Draw 22.32%

Charlotte FC	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 61.41%	1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.32%	0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.53% Total : 16.26%