Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT BMO Field
  • Kevin Long 30' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 35' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 71' goal

Toronto vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 11.30pm
NY City 2 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 11.15pm
Atlanta 2 - 0 Orlando City
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Saba Lobzhanidze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result

Toronto 40.18% (-0.02)
Draw 25.36% (+0.02)
Atlanta United 34.46% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.17% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.42% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 47.58% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 30.22% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.78% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.82% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.18% (+0.04)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 76.54% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 23.46% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 42.52% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 57.48% (+0.06)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 73.39% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.61% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 38.16% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.84% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Toronto 40.18%
Draw 25.36%
Atlanta United 34.46%
Toronto
1-0 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 8.27% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.46%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT BMO Field
  • Richie Laryea 43' goal
  • Brandon Servania 90'+4' goal
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 4'
  • goal Machop Chol 76'
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' goal
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 52'
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Sanchez 47' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 62' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 62' goal
  • Thiago Almada 74' goal
  • Thiago Almada 74' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 88' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 89' goal
  • goal Ayomide Akinola 52'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 67'
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Osorio 8' goal
  • Jayden Nelson 28' yellowcard
  • Carlos Salcedo 52' yellowcard
  • Ralph Priso-Mbongue 78' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 54'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 57'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 70'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 43
Oct 30, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luiz Araujo 15' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nick DeLeon 17'
  • yellowcard Kemar Lawrence 69'
  • goal Jordan Perruzza 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 39
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ifunanyachi Achara 24' yellowcard
  • Auro 83' redcard
  • Marco Delgado 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Rossetto 16'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 45'+2'
  • redcard Ezequiel Barco 84'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 90'+7'
  • yellowcard 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Anton Walkes 90'+8'