Major League Soccer

Mar 23, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 0
Atlanta

Spicer (35'), Osei Owusu (71')
Long (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Atlanta United
40.18% ( -0.02)	25.36% ( 0.01)	34.46% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.17% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42% (

-0.05)

47.58% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22% (

-0.05)

69.78% (

0.05)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

-0.03)

23.46% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52% (

-0.05)

57.48% (

0.05)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39% (

-0.02)

26.61% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16% (

-0.03)

61.84% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Toronto 40.18%

Atlanta United 34.46%

Draw 25.36%

Toronto	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.18%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.46%