Major League Soccer

Mar 17, 2024 at 11.15pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 0
Orlando City

Lobzhanidze (9'), Giakoumakis (70')
Wiley (23'), Muyumba (45+1'), Silva (51'), Guzan (73'), Almada (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jansson (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 New England
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Tigres 4-2 Orlando City
Wednesday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Orlando City
52.86% ( 0.01)	23.11% ( 0.06)	24.03% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.88% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46% (

-0.33)

43.54% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.07% (

-0.32)

65.93% (

0.33)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.53% (

-0.11)

16.47% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.83% (

-0.21)

46.17% (

0.21)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

-0.24)

31.91% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64% (

-0.27)

68.36% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 52.86%

Orlando City 24.03%

Draw 23.11%

Atlanta United	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.86%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 24.03%