Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Toronto |
| 65.41% ( | 20.03% ( | 14.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% ( | 44.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( | 66.44% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.34% ( | 12.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.18% ( | 38.82% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( | 42.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( | 78.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 4-0 @ 4.09% ( 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 65.41% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.03% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 1-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.56% |