Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 52.13% ( | 24.2% ( | 23.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( | 48.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( | 70.71% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( | 18.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% ( | 49.9% ( |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( | 71.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.12% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.67% |