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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
Portland Timbers

Vancouver
3 - 2
Portland

Gauld (2', 2'), Picault (29', 29'), Raposo (87', 87')
Cubas (51'), Cubas (51'), Adekugbe (90'), Adekugbe (90')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Evander (52', 52'), Mora (77', 77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPortland Timbers
52.13% (0.033999999999999 0.03)24.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)23.67% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03)48.58% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (0.032 0.03)70.71% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.025000000000006 0.03)18.61% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (0.045000000000002 0.05)49.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02%34.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.72% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 52.12%
    Portland Timbers 23.67%
    Draw 24.19%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 23.67%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-3
Vancouver
Mora (53'), Evander (85')
Evander (34'), Zuparic (51'), Asprilla (63'), Boli (90+4')
Gauld (13', 60'), White (36')
Cubas (65'), Laryea (90+5'), Takaoka (90+8')
May 14, 2023 3.30am
Portland
3-1
Vancouver
Boli (2'), Evander (18', 54')
McGraw (24' og.)
Apr 9, 2023 3.30am
Jul 18, 2022 3.30am
Apr 10, 2022 3am