Major League Soccer

Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Surridge (32', 32'), Muyl (40', 40')
Maher (54'), Maher (55')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Dejaegere (45+4', 45+4')
Tavares (55'), Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81'), Privett (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Thursday, March 14 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Charlotte FC
46.33% ( 0.73)	25.12% ( -0.14)	28.56% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.25% (

0.26)

48.75% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.15% (

0.24)

70.86% (

-0.24)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

0.43)

21.07% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

0.67)

53.88% (

-0.67)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89% (

-0.3)

31.11% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

-0.35)

67.43% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 46.32%

Charlotte FC 28.56%

Draw 25.11%

Nashville SC	Draw	Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.32%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.56%