Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.