Major League Soccer

Apr 7, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
3 - 3
Portland

Agade (13', 45+3'), Rosero (38')
Rosero (25'), Rodriguez (48'), Davis (90+8')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Evander (64' pen.), Mora (66'), Miller (81')
Miller (34'), Miller (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-3 Kansas
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 3-2 Portland
Sunday, March 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Portland Timbers
52.6% ( 0.02)	22.88% ( -0.01)	24.51% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.22% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

0.03)

42.01% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.58% (

0.03)

64.41% (

-0.03)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

0.02)

16.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.66% (

0.03)

45.33% (

-0.03)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

30.68% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

66.93%

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 52.6%

Portland Timbers 24.51%

Draw 22.88%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.6%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.51%