Major League Soccer

May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Portland

Lod (65', 65'), Sang-bin (82', 82')
Tapias (42'), Tapias (42'), Sang-bin (90+8'), Trapp (90+13'), Sang-bin (90+8'), Trapp (90+13')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rodriguez (17', 17')
Rodriguez (42'), Rodriguez (42'), Evander (44'), Evander (44'), Araujo (67'), Chara (67'), Araujo (67'), Chara (67'), Asprilla (82'), Asprilla (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 4-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Portland Timbers
52.83% ( -0.59)	22.11% ( 0.07)	25.05% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 61.55% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.11% (

0.21)

37.89% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.85% (

0.23)

60.14% (

-0.23)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

-0.12)

14.47% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

-0.23)

42.44% (

0.22)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

0.52)

28.04% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

0.65)

63.69% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 52.83%

Portland Timbers 25.05%

Draw 22.12%

Minnesota United	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.83%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.59% Total : 25.05%