Major League Soccer

May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Hlongwane (30', 30'), Arriaga (80', 80')
Oluwaseyi (45'), Oluwaseyi (45'), Rosales (58'), Rosales (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Joveljic (61', 61'), Fagundez (68', 68')
Fagundez (90+7'), Fagundez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
45% ( -0)	23.15% ( -0)	31.85% ( 0)

Both teams to score 63.18% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.97% (

38.03% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.7% (

0.01)

60.29% (

-0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.68%

17.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.31%

47.68%

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

0.01)

23.58% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35% (

0.01)

57.65% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 45%

Los Angeles Galaxy 31.85%

Draw 23.14%

Minnesota United	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 4.08% Total : 45%	1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.14%	1-2 @ 7.47% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.85%