Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Lobzhanidze (82', 82')
Abram (20'), Abram (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arriaga (54', 54'), Oluwaseyi (60', 60')
Arriaga (90+8'), Arriaga (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Minnesota United
55.58% ( -0.92)	21.09% ( 0.3)	23.33% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 63.21% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.2% (

-0.71)

34.8% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.23% (

-0.79)

56.76% (

0.79)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.42% (

-0.5)

12.58% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.34% (

-1.03)

38.65% (

1.03)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

0.1)

27.69% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75% (

0.13)

63.24% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 55.58%

Minnesota United 23.33%

Draw 21.09%

Atlanta United	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.58%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.09%	1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.61% Total : 23.33%