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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Giakoumakis (45'), Thiare (64', 90+5')
Wiley (50'), Lennon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herbers (66')
Teran (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-0 Chicago Fire

 With Atlanta likely to be at full strength in the attack, we expect them to tear through a Fire backline that have been rather leaky, and a striker with the quality of Giakoumakis rarely misses the chances presented to him. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
58.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 21.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 57.63% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (0.083000000000006 0.08)40.28% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (0.083000000000006 0.08)62.65% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)13.65% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.83% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (0.051000000000002 0.05)33.25% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)69.87% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.01%
    Chicago Fire 20.52%
    Draw 21.47%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Chicago Fire
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Atlanta
Sanchez (42' og.), Haile-Selassie (49'), Koutsias (89')
Navarro (3'), Herbers (45+2'), Gutierrez (58'), Czichos (87')
Navarro (26')
Gutman (29'), Giakoumakis (55', 65')
Ibarra (41'), Araujo (69'), Diop (90')
Araujo (71')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Chicago Fire
Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Przybylko (90')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta
Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')
Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')
Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113
> Full Version


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