Major League Soccer

Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Almada (59', 59')
Fortune (68'), Fortune (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Orellano (62', 62'), Acosta (64', 64')
Robinson (83'), Robinson (83'), Bucha (89'), Bucha (89'), Acosta (90+2'), Bucha (90+2'), Acosta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	FC Cincinnati
47.65% ( -1.91)	23.47% ( 0.54)	28.88% ( 1.38)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.83% (

-1.55)

41.17% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.44% (

-1.6)

63.57% (

1.6)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49% (

-1.3)

17.51% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.98% (

-2.32)

48.02% (

2.32)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

0.16)

27% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

0.2)

62.36% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 47.65%

FC Cincinnati 28.88%

Draw 23.46%

Atlanta United	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.65%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.88%