/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fnyclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fatllog.png)
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James Sands
15'
-
James Sands
15'
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Santiago Rodriguez
43'
-
Santiago Rodriguez
43'
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Tayvon Gray
50'
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Tayvon Gray
50'
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Keaton Parks
74'
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Keaton Parks
74'
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Derrick Williams
61'
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Derrick Williams
61'
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Jamal Thiare
65'
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Jamal Thiare
65'
New York City FC vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F11%2Fkeaton-parks.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
New York City FC
52.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
23.17%
Atlanta United
24.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
57.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
43.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
34.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
65.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
17.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
82.09%
▼
(-0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5
83.43%
Under 0.5
16.57%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
53.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
46.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5
68.92%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
31.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
32.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
67.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
New York City FC
52.1%
Draw
23.16%
Atlanta United
24.73%
New York City FC
2-1
@
9.72%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 52.1%
1-0 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 52.1%
Draw
1-1
@
10.81%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.16%
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.16%
Atlanta United
1-2
@
6.32%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.73%
Alan Franco
90'+3'