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LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
Houston Dynamo

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Houston

Pec (44'), Puig (60')
Brugman (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Blessing (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Houston Dynamo

LA Galaxy are the favourites here but their form of late has been questionable and they have struggled to put games to bed from winning positions. Indeed, Houston have also been way below their best this season but they have shown improvement in the last few weeks and we feel they will be able to earn a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.62%) and 3-1 (6.46%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawHouston Dynamo
53.03% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 21.13%25.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 66.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.52%38.48%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.93% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 53.03%
    Houston Dynamo 25.84%
    Draw 21.13%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 53.03%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.84%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Houston

Los Angeles Galaxy
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
Houston Dynamo
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
0-0
Houston
Edwards (34')
Steres (38'), Caicedo (55'), Quinones (64'), Artur (90+8')
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Oct 21, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 40
Houston
0-3
LA Galaxy
Figueroa (37')
Hernandez (9'), Araujo (11'), DePuy (84')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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