Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.