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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Reliant Stadium
FC Dallas

Houston
1 - 1
Dallas

Bassi (45+6')
Kowalczyk (54'), Segal (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (69')
Norris (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Dallas

Dallas have been the more successful side of the two in the history of this fixture but have struggled to pick up victories when playing away from home, failing to win since August 2016. For that reason, we believe this one will end all square, leaving Dallas to retain El Capitan for a third successive year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
61.72% (0.137 0.14) 21.95% (-0.064 -0.06) 16.33% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.141 0.14)48.87% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (0.127 0.13)70.96% (-0.128 -0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (0.090999999999994 0.09)15.32% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.94% (0.171 0.17)44.05% (-0.173 -0.17)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)79.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 61.71%
    Dallas 16.33%
    Draw 21.94%
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 61.71%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: Houston vs Dallas

Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Dallas
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
2-0
Houston
Musa (55'), Ibeagha (80')
Estevez (6'), Musa (16'), Illarramendi (42'), Kamungo (73')

Micael (62'), Gaines (87')
Dorsey (5')
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Jul 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Dallas
Steres (41'), Lundqvist (47'), Zeca (86')
Hedges (17'), Quignon (22'), Ferreira (85'), Farfan (88'), Servania (90+8')
Servania (90+13')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Dallas
2-1
Houston
Ntsabeleng (87'), Quignon (90+3')
Farfan (2'), Cerrillo (71'), Quignon (90+5')
Ferreira (33')
Dorsey (35'), Carrasquilla (78'), Bartlow (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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