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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Reliant Stadium
FC Dallas

Houston
1 - 1
Dallas

Bassi (45+6')
Kowalczyk (54'), Segal (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (69')
Norris (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Dallas

Dallas have been the more successful side of the two in the history of this fixture but have struggled to pick up victories when playing away from home, failing to win since August 2016. For that reason, we believe this one will end all square, leaving Dallas to retain El Capitan for a third successive year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
61.72% (0.137 0.14) 21.95% (-0.064 -0.06) 16.33% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.141 0.14)48.87% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (0.127 0.13)70.96% (-0.128 -0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (0.090999999999994 0.09)15.32% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.94% (0.171 0.17)44.05% (-0.173 -0.17)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)79.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 61.71%
    Dallas 16.33%
    Draw 21.94%
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 61.71%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: Houston vs Dallas

Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Dallas
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
2-0
Houston
Musa (55'), Ibeagha (80')
Estevez (6'), Musa (16'), Illarramendi (42'), Kamungo (73')

Micael (62'), Gaines (87')
Dorsey (5')
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Jul 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Dallas
Steres (41'), Lundqvist (47'), Zeca (86')
Hedges (17'), Quignon (22'), Ferreira (85'), Farfan (88'), Servania (90+8')
Servania (90+13')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Dallas
2-1
Houston
Ntsabeleng (87'), Quignon (90+3')
Farfan (2'), Cerrillo (71'), Quignon (90+5')
Ferreira (33')
Dorsey (35'), Carrasquilla (78'), Bartlow (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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