/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Ftorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fdallog.png)
-
Federico Bernardeschi
39'
-
Federico Bernardeschi
45'+3'
-
Federico Bernardeschi
45'+3'
-
Federico Bernardeschi
52'
-
Federico Bernardeschi
52'
-
Nickseon Gomis
72'
-
Nickseon Gomis
72'
-
Matty Longstaff
82'
-
Matty Longstaff
82'
-
Sigurd Rosted
90'+6'
-
Sigurd Rosted
90'+6'
-
Petar Musa
9'
-
Petar Musa
9'
-
Ema Twumasi
67'
-
Ema Twumasi
67'
-
Samuel Junqua
87'
-
Samuel Junqua
87'
Toronto vs Dallas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F09%2Fjohn-herdman.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result
Toronto
44.89%
▼
(-0.40)
Draw
25.89%
▲
(+0.08)
Dallas
29.23%
▲
(+0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
52.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.44%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
51.56%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
26.65%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
73.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
12.42%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
87.58%
▲
(+0.07)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5
77.1%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
22.9%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
43.34%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
56.66%
▲
(+0.36)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5
67.93%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
32.07%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
31.46%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
68.54%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Toronto
44.88%
Draw
25.88%
Dallas
29.23%
Toronto
1-0
@
10.82%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 44.88%
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 44.88%
Draw
1-1
@
12.31%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.88%
0-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.88%
Dallas
0-1
@
8.35%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 7% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.23%
1-2 @ 7% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.23%