Major League Soccer

Apr 28, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 2
Toronto

McGuire (36', 37')
McGuire (55'), McGuire (55'), Araujo (67'), Araujo (67'), Lodeiro (75'), Lodeiro (75'), Lodeiro (81'), Lodeiro (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Spicer (87', 87'), Osei Owusu (90', 90')
Gomis (11'), Gomis (11'), Osei Owusu (50'), Osei Owusu (50'), Petretta (57'), Petretta (57'), Schlegel (90+3'), Johnson (90+3'), Schlegel (90+3'), Johnson (90+3')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-0 New England
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
70.02% ( 0.05)	18.48% ( -0.03)	11.5% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.49% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.63% (

0.05)

44.37% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.26% (

0.05)

66.74% (

-0.05)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.53% (

0.03)

11.47% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.69% (

0.06)

36.31% (

-0.06)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.51% (

-0.01)

47.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.15% (

-0.01)

82.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 70.01%

Toronto 11.5%

Draw 18.48%

Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
2-0 @ 12.77% 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 70.01%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.48%	0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 11.5%