Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 49.43% ( | 23.86% ( | 26.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( | 44.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( | 66.89% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( | 18.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( | 49.05% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( | 30.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% ( | 66.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.43% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-1 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.06% Total : 26.7% |