Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 53.77% | 24.4% | 21.83% |
| Both teams to score 50.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( | 51.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% | 73.08% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( | 18.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( | 50.53% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( | 38.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% | 74.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.55% Total : 21.83% |