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Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
New England Revolution

Toronto
1 - 0
New England

Osei Owusu (66')
Petretta (8'), Polster (42'), Longstaff (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gil (29'), Osorio (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-2 New England Revolution

Neither side have been particularly strong defensively of late, so we expect to see plenty of opportunities for each, though we do not believe either will do enough to earn the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNew England Revolution
43.98% (-0.522 -0.52) 24.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.6% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 58.47% (0.255 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.224 0.22)44.17% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (0.221 0.22)66.54% (-0.22 -0.22)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)20.21% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (-0.217 -0.22)52.53% (0.215 0.21)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (0.444 0.44)26.72% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (0.582 0.58)61.98% (-0.583 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.98%
    New England Revolution 31.6%
    Draw 24.42%
TorontoDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: Toronto vs New England

Toronto
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
New England Revolution
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 7pm
New England
0-1
Toronto
Insigne (27')
Bernardeschi (73'), Gomis (82'), Johnson (87'), Akinola (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
New England
Bernardeschi (31' pen.), Criscito (75')
Akinola (35'), Laryea (78')
McNamara (37'), Rennicks (48')
Makoun (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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