Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto1 - 0New England
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Toronto 2-2 New England Revolution
Neither side have been particularly strong defensively of late, so we expect to see plenty of opportunities for each, though we do not believe either will do enough to earn the three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New England Revolution |
43.98% ( -0.52) | 24.42% ( -0) | 31.6% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
