Major League Soccer

Apr 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
2 - 0
New England

Ojeda (57', 57'), Fernandez (90+3', 90+3')
Freese (45+6'), Freese (45+6'), Parks (78'), Parks (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chancalay (22'), Chancalay (22'), Harkes (43'), Harkes (43'), Kessler (77'), Kessler (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	New England Revolution
57.44% ( 0.01)	20.95% ( -0)	21.6% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.67% (

0.01)

36.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.54% (

0.01)

58.46% (

-0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.46% (

12.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.43% (

0.01)

38.56% (

-0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

-0)

29.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

-0)

66.11%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 57.44%

New England Revolution 21.6%

Draw 20.95%

New York City FC	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.11% 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 57.44%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.95%	1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 21.6%