Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
57.44% ( 0.01) | 20.95% ( -0) | 21.6% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.23% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.67% ( 0.01) | 36.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.54% ( 0.01) | 58.46% ( -0.01) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.46% ( 0) | 12.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.43% ( 0.01) | 38.56% ( -0.01) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% ( -0) | 29.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% ( -0) | 66.11% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.11% 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 57.44% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.95% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 21.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 63 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 55 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 53 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 43 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 36 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 33 |
10 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 32 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 32 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 31 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 50 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 49 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 47 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 43 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 39 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Dallas | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 29 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 18 |