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Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Orlando City

Montreal
2 - 2
Orlando City

Toye (16'), Lassiter (88')
Sosa (10'), Sirois (20'), Waterman (77'), Lassiter (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Torres (22' pen.), Angulo (90+2')
Jansson (8'), Araujo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Orlando City

Both sides have experienced their share of hardships to this stage of the season, though they have each been relatively resilient at the same time. That resilience has us leaning towards a draw for these two teams, who are usually fairly resolute at the back despite what many of their results this year may indicate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
42.72% (-0.156 -0.16) 24.71% (0.055 0.05) 32.57% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (-0.229 -0.23)45.11% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (-0.219 -0.22)67.46% (0.217 0.22)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)21.17% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (-0.261 -0.26)54.04% (0.258 0.26)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)26.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)61.78% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 42.72%
    Orlando City 32.57%
    Draw 24.7%
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.72%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.57%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Montreal
Sirois (19' og.), Dan Thor­halls­son (50'), Torres (54')
Enrique (68'), Araujo (75')

Campbell (24'), Corbo (60'), Saliba (69')
Oct 17, 2022 1am
First Round
Montreal
2-0
Orlando City
Kone (68'), Mihailovic (90+9' pen.)
May 7, 2022 9pm
Montreal
4-1
Orlando City
Waterman (21'), Mihailovic (52'), Torres (81'), Brault-Guillard (84')
Waterman (24'), Mihailovic (42'), Quioto (55'), Piette (79')
Moutinho (72')
Kara (68'), Williams (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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