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Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Orlando City

Montreal
2 - 2
Orlando City

Toye (16', 16'), Lassiter (88', 88')
Sosa (10'), Sosa (10'), Sirois (20'), Sirois (20'), Waterman (77'), Waterman (77'), Lassiter (86'), Lassiter (86')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Torres (22' pen., 22' pen.), Angulo (90+2', 90+2')
Jansson (8'), Jansson (8'), Araujo (62'), Araujo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
42.72% (-0.156 -0.16)24.71% (0.055 0.05)32.57% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (-0.229 -0.23)45.11% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (-0.219 -0.22)67.46% (0.217 0.22)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)21.17% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (-0.261 -0.26)54.04% (0.258 0.26)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)26.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)61.78% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 42.72%
    Orlando City 32.57%
    Draw 24.7%
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.72%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.57%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Montreal
Sirois (19' og.), Dan Thor­halls­son (50'), Torres (54')
Enrique (68'), Araujo (75')

Campbell (24'), Corbo (60'), Saliba (69')
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Oct 17, 2022 1am
First Round
Montreal
2-0
Orlando City
Kone (68'), Mihailovic (90+9' pen.)
May 7, 2022 9pm
Montreal
4-1
Orlando City
Waterman (21'), Mihailovic (52'), Torres (81'), Brault-Guillard (84')
Waterman (24'), Mihailovic (42'), Quioto (55'), Piette (79')
Moutinho (72')
Kara (68'), Williams (89')