Major League Soccer
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Petar Musa
17'
-
Petar Musa
17'
-
Petar Musa
38'
-
Petar Musa
38'
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Asier Illarramendi
52'
-
Asier Illarramendi
52'
-
Petar Musa
62'
-
Petar Musa
62'
-
Jesus Ferreira
75'
-
Jesus Ferreira
75'
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Logan Farrington
90'
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Logan Farrington
90'
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Logan Farrington
90'+8'
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Logan Farrington
90'+8'
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Bongokuhle Hlongwane
33'
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Bongokuhle Hlongwane
33'
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Hassani Dotson
57'
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Hassani Dotson
57'
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Michael Boxall
68'
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Michael Boxall
68'
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Wil Trapp
90'+7'
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Wil Trapp
90'+7'
Dallas vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result
Dallas
51.34%
▼
(-0.30)
Draw
23.54%
▲
(+0.02)
Minnesota United
25.12%
▲
(+0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
56.64%
▲
(+0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.59%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
44.41%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
33.21%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 3.5
66.78%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 4.5
16.95%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
83.05%
▼
(-0.15)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5
82.66%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
17.34%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
52.28%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
47.72%
▲
(+0.07)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5
68.52%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
31.48%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
32.14%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 1.5
67.86%
▼
(-0.40)
Score analysis
Dallas
51.34%
Draw
23.54%
Minnesota United
25.12%
Dallas
2-1
@
9.69%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.34%
1-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.05%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.54%
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.54%
Minnesota United
1-2
@
6.39%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.12%
Head to Head
Major League Soccer
-
Hassani Dotson
9'
-
Hassani Dotson
9'
-
Franco Fragapane
43'
-
Franco Fragapane
43'
-
Wil Trapp
45'+2'
-
Wil Trapp
45'+2'
-
Liam Fraser
15'
-
Liam Fraser
15'
Major League Soccer
Major League Soccer
-
Mender Garcia
48'
MLS Playoffs
-
Facundo Quignon
64'
-
Emanuel Reynoso
53'
Major League Soccer
-
Franco Fragapane
20'
-
Franco Fragapane
69'
-
Kervin Arriaga
80'
-
Paul Arriola
4'
-
Marco Farfan
15'
-
Michael Boxall
55'
(OG)
-
Alan Velasco
56'
-
Jesus Ferreira
58'
Major League Soccer
-
Ema Twumasi
40'
-
Paul Arriola
59'
-
Robin Lod
20'
-
Michael Boxall
31'
-
Kervin Arriaga
33'
-
Franco Fragapane
33'
-
DJ Taylor
55'
-
Emanuel Reynoso
78'
-
Dayne St Clair
90'+6'