Major League Soccer

Jun 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
5 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Musa (17', 17', 38', 38', 62', 62'), Ferreira (75', 75'), Farrington (90', 90')
Illarramendi (52'), Illarramendi (52'), Farrington (90+8'), Farrington (90+8')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Hlongwane (33', 33'), Dotson (57', 57'), Trapp (90+7' pen., 90+7' pen.)
Boxall (68'), Boxall (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 St Louis City
Sunday, June 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Minnesota United
51.34% ( -0.3)	23.54% ( 0.01)	25.12% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

0.2)

44.41% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

0.19)

66.78% (

-0.19)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66% (

-0.04)

17.34% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.28% (

-0.06)

47.72% (

0.06)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

0.33)

31.48% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

0.38)

67.86% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Dallas 51.34%

Minnesota United 25.12%

Draw 23.54%

Dallas	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.34%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.12%