Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.