Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Alm (2', 2'), Klauss (56', 56', 67', 67')
Alm (45+1'), Alm (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cuypers (46', 46')
Herbers (22'), Herbers (22'), Shaqiri (61'), Shaqiri (61'), Teran (90+1'), Teran (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 New England
Sunday, May 5 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Chicago Fire
49.96% ( 0)	24.28%	25.76% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.85% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.92% (

-0)

47.08% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.68%

69.32% (

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.12% (

18.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.64%

50.36%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

-0)

32.39% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

-0)

68.9% (

Score Analysis

St Louis City 49.96%

Chicago Fire 25.76%

Draw 24.28%

St Louis City	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.96%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.89% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.76%