Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 62.43% ( | 21.68% ( | 15.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( | 48.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( | 70.64% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( | 14.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( | 43.4% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% ( | 43.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.41% ( | 79.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( 2-0 @ 11.7% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 5-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.68% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 15.9% |