Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 46.67% ( | 24.17% ( | 29.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( | 44.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( | 66.6% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( | 19.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.29% ( | 50.71% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( | 28.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( | 64.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.16% |