Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | St Louis City |
| 64.81% ( | 18.57% ( | 16.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.14% ( | 32.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.44% ( | 54.56% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.42% ( | 9.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.95% ( | 32.05% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( | 32.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( | 69.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 3-1 @ 7.53% ( 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 3-0 @ 6.77% ( 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 5-0 @ 1.86% ( 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 4-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.57% | 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 1-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 16.62% |