Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.