Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Duke (22', 22'), Vilsaint (32', 32')
Piette (43'), Piette (43')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Rojas (44', 44'), Suarez (45+3', 45+3'), Cremaschi (59', 59')
Krivtsov (55'), Krivtsov (55'), Busquets (68'), Busquets (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Inter Miami
40.46% ( -0.1)	22.98% ( -0.01)	36.56% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 65.33% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.18% (

0.08)

35.82% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.1% (

0.09)

57.89% (

-0.09)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0.01)

18.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66% (

-0.01)

49.34% (

0.01)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

0.09)

20.05% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72% (

0.14)

52.27% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 40.46%

Inter Miami 36.56%

Draw 22.97%

CF Montreal	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 40.46%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.56%