Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 4 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Lionel Messi 11' goal
  • Lionel Messi 11' goal
  • David Ruiz 27' yellowcard
  • David Ruiz 27' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 39' goal
  • Sergio Busquets 39' goal
  • Marcelo Weigandt 40' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Weigandt 40' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 81' goal
  • Lionel Messi 81' goal
  • goal Franco Negri 2' (OG)
  • goal Franco Negri 2' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lukas MacNaughton 50'
  • yellowcard Lukas MacNaughton 50'

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 14, 2024 1.30am
Kansas 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Nashville 1 - 2 Philadelphia
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result

Inter Miami 46.52% (-2.04)
Draw 24.69% (+0.38)
Nashville SC 28.78% (+1.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.93% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.22% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 46.78% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 30.96% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 69.04% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 15.34% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 84.66% (+0.38)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 79.82% (-1.08)
Under 0.5 20.18% (+1.07)
Over 1.5 47.52% (-1.75)
Under 1.5 52.48% (+1.75)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 70.08% (+0.93)
Under 0.5 29.92% (-0.93)
Over 1.5 33.97% (+1.10)
Under 1.5 66.02% (-1.11)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 46.52%
Draw 24.69%
Nashville SC 28.78%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.27)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.33)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.20)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 6.04% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 7.29% (+0.36)
1-2 @ 7.04% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 4.4% (+0.32)
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.26% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.77% (+0.17)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.78%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 14, 2024 12.15am
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 8' goal
  • Luis Suarez 8' goal
  • Luis Suarez 8' goal
  • Lionel Messi 23' goal
  • Lionel Messi 23' goal
  • Lionel Messi 23' goal
  • Robert Taylor 63' goal
  • Robert Taylor 63' goal
  • Robert Taylor 63' goal
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 4'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 4'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 4'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'+3'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'+3'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'+3'
CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 8, 2024 2.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 4' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 4' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 46' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 46' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 26'
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 26'
  • goal Lionel Messi 52'
  • goal Lionel Messi 52'
  • goal Luis Suarez 90'+5'
  • goal Luis Suarez 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Diego Gomez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Diego Gomez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Robert Taylor 50' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 50' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 77' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dax McCarty 59'
  • yellowcard Dax McCarty 59'
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 81'
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 81'
US Open Cup
May 24, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Fabrice Picault 33' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 33' goal
  • Lukas MacNaughton 49' goal
  • Lukas MacNaughton 49' goal
  • goal Dixon Arroyo 90'+3'
  • goal Dixon Arroyo 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Sep 23, 2021 12.30am
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Gonzalo Higuain 64' goal
  • Gregore 75' yellowcard
  • Gregore 86' redcard
  • goal Duncan Williams 6'
  • goal Walker Zimmerman 39'
  • goal Duncan Williams 48'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 67'
  • goal Randall Leal 70'
  • goal Alistair Johnston 90'+6'