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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Nashville

Inter Miami
3 - 1
Nashville

Messi (11', 11', 81' pen., 81' pen.), Busquets (39', 39')
Ruiz (27'), Ruiz (27'), Weigandt (40'), Weigandt (40')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Negri (2' og., 2' og.)
MacNaughton (50'), MacNaughton (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNashville SC
46.52% (-2.03 -2.03)24.69% (0.377 0.38)28.78% (1.648 1.65)
Both teams to score 55.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (-0.577 -0.58)46.78% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (-0.544 -0.54)69.04% (0.538 0.54)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-1.075 -1.08)20.18% (1.07 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-1.747 -1.75)52.48% (1.742 1.74)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.92100000000001 0.92)29.92% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (1.099 1.1)66.02% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 46.52%
    Nashville SC 28.78%
    Draw 24.69%
Inter MiamiDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.353 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.288 0.29)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.318 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.075 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.78%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Nashville

Inter Miami
87.9%
Draw
6.1%
Nashville SC
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2024 12.15am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Inter Miami
3-1
Nashville
Suarez (8'), Messi (23'), Taylor (63')
Surridge (90+3')
Godoy (4')
Mar 8, 2024 2am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Nashville
2-2
Inter Miami
Shaffelburg (4', 46')
Messi (52'), Suarez (90+5')
Redondo (26')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
0-0
Nashville
Alba (45+1'), Gomez (45+1'), Busquets (50'), Aviles (77')
McCarty (59'), Maher (81')
May 24, 2023
12.30am
May 18, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
2-1
Inter Miami
Picault (33'), MacNaughton (49')
Arroyo (90+3')
Negri (18'), Arroyo (52'), Neville (56')