Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Sam Surridge 42' goal
  • Sam Surridge 42' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 84' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 62'
  • goal Julian Carranza 62'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 90'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 90'

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Nashville 2 - 2 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 6.00pm
Philadelphia 2 - 0 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result

Nashville SC 43.5% (+0.01)
Draw 25.24%
Philadelphia Union 31.25% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.51% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.04% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.96% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.86% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.13% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.58% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.42% (+0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 77.98% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.02% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.34%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 71.18% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.82% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.33% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.67% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 43.5%
Draw 25.23%
Philadelphia Union 31.26%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 9.6% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.27% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 31.26%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jose Andres Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 90' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 18'
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 18'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 72'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 72'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT First Tennessee Park
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 40'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 40'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 84'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
May 1, 2022 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Lovitz 33' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 37' yellowcard
  • Sean Davis 49' yellowcard
  • Randall Leal 76' yellowcard
  • Randall Leal 85' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 60'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 62'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 66'
  • yellowcard Andre Blake 84'
Major League Soccer
Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
ET
  • Daniel Gazdag 45'+2' goal
  • goal Duncan Williams 38'
  • yellowcard Randall Leal 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 42
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kacper Przybylko 18' goal
  • Kacper Przybylko 27' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 55' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ake Loba 23'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 53'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nealis 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
Jul 4, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • CJ Sapong 2' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 79'