Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Sam Surridge 11' goal
  • Sam Surridge 11' goal
  • Walker Zimmerman 20' goal
  • Walker Zimmerman 20' goal
  • Sam Surridge 47' goal
  • Sam Surridge 47' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 57' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 57' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 61' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 81' goal
  • Sam Surridge 82' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 29'
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 29'
  • goal Walker Zimmerman 64' (OG)
  • goal Walker Zimmerman 64' (OG)
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 90'
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 90'
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Rida Zouhir 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Rida Zouhir 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Rida Zouhir 97'+8'

Nashville SC vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
Nashville 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
Columbus Crew 0 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Josef Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result

Nashville SC 55.21% (-1.43)
Draw 23.15% (+0.31)
CF Montreal 21.64% (+1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.68% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.68% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 46.32% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.39% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.6% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.65% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.35% (-0.04)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 83.36% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 16.63% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 53.53% (-0.87)
Under 1.5 46.47% (+0.87)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 64.4% (+1.12)
Under 0.5 35.6% (-1.13)
Over 1.5 27.63% (+1.15)
Under 1.5 72.37% (-1.15)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 55.21%
Draw 23.15%
CF Montreal 21.64%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 3.04% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 55.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.15%
CF Montreal
0-1 @ 6.12% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 5.67% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 3.16% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 1.95% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-98.32)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.64%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Bryce Duke 27' goal
  • Bryce Duke 27' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 37' goal
  • Taylor Washington 89' goal
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2022 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Muyl 28' goal
  • Duncan Williams 41' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 43' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 52' goal
  • goal Kei Kamara 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Sep 12, 2021 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zorhan Bassong 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 41'
  • yellowcard Brian Anunga 58'
  • goal Walker Zimmerman 66'
  • yellowcard Joe Willis 85'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
Jun 27, 2021 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Lovitz 89' yellowcard
  • Abu Danladi 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Rudy Camacho 33'
  • yellowcard Mason Toye 42'
  • goal Aljaz Struna 63'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Apr 24, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Anibal Godoy 50' yellowcard
  • Jhonder Cadiz 54' goal
  • Alex Muyl 56' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 77' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 2'
  • goal Mason Toye 13'
  • goal Zachary Brault-Guillard 42'
  • yellowcard Romell Quioto 48'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Struna 63'