Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
6 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Rojas (48', 48', 62', 62'), Messi (50', 50'), Suarez (68', 68', 75', 75', 81', 81')
Aviles (57'), Aviles (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vanzeir (30', 30'), Forsberg (90+7' pen., 90+7' pen.)
Tolkin (25'), Tolkin (25'), Duncan (38'), Duncan (38'), Carmona (39'), Carmona (39')

Reaction

Inter Miami CF forward Lionel Messi looks on during the second half against Orlando City at Chase Stadium on March 2, 2024

Lionel Messi achieves record-breaking career first in Inter Miami rout

Inter Miami forward Lionel Messi produces a record-breaking performance in Saturday's 6-2 win against New York Red Bulls.

May 5, 16:44

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: New England 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	New York Red Bulls
55.55% ( 5.17)	21.72% ( -1.96)	22.73% ( -3.22)

Both teams to score 60.1% (

3.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.46% (

5.74)

38.53% (

-5.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.17% (

5.82)

60.83% (

-5.82)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

3.83)

13.83% (

-3.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.81% (

7.08)

41.18% (

-7.08)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74% (

0.49)

30.25% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.57% (

0.58)

66.42% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 55.55%

New York Red Bulls 22.73%

Draw 21.72%

Inter Miami	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -1.14) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.89) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.68) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.58) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.78) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.63) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.49) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.43) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.35) Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.55%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( -1.21) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -1.24) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.72%	1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.63) 0-1 @ 5% ( -1.4) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.79) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.95% Total : 22.73%