Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
May 5, 2024 12.30am
6
2
HT : 0 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • Matias Rojas 48' goal
  • Matias Rojas 48' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 57' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 57' yellowcard
  • Matias Rojas 62' goal
  • Matias Rojas 62' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' goal
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Luis Suarez 81' goal
  • Luis Suarez 81' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 25'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 25'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 30'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 30'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 38'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 38'
  • yellowcard Wikelman Carmona 39'
  • yellowcard Wikelman Carmona 39'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 90'+7'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 90'+7'

Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
New England 1 - 4 Inter Miami
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 1 - 1 Vancouver
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lewis Morgan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result

Inter Miami 55.55% ▲ (+5.18)
Draw 21.72% ▼ (-1.96)
New York Red Bulls 22.73% ▼ (-3.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.1% ▲ (+3.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.46% ▲ (+5.75)
Under 2.5 38.53% ▼ (-5.75)
Over 3.5 39.17% ▲ (+5.83)
Under 3.5 60.83% ▼ (-5.83)
Over 4.5 21.48% ▲ (+4.44)
Under 4.5 78.52% ▼ (-4.44)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 86.17% ▲ (+3.83)
Under 0.5 13.83% ▼ (-3.83)
Over 1.5 58.81% ▲ (+7.09)
Under 1.5 41.18% ▼ (-7.09)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 0.5 30.25% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 1.5 33.57% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 66.42% ▼ (-0.59)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 55.55%
Draw 21.72%
New York Red Bulls 22.73%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.17)
1-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-1.14)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.90)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.69)
3-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.58)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.79)
4-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.63)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.49)
5-1 @ 1.26% ▼ (-82.44)
5-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-69.95)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-1.21)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-1.25)
3-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.72%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.64)
0-1 @ 5% ▼ (-1.40)
0-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.79)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.30)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22.73%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Mar 23, 2024 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Inter Miami
  • Lewis Morgan 3' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 51' goal
  • Wikelman Carmona 66' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 70' goal
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 11'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 25'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 84'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Inter Miami
  • Cameron Harper 11' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 11' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 20'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 20'
  • goal Diego Gomez 37'
  • goal Diego Gomez 37'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Jun 1, 2023 1.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
NY Red Bulls
  • goal Tom Barlow 52'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Aug 28, 2022 12.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Inter Miami
  • Kyle Duncan 36' yellowcard
  • Aaron Long 42' yellowcard
  • Lewis Morgan 43' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 53' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 70' redcard
  • Caden Clark 74' goal
  • John Tolkin 80' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 19'
  • redcard Alejandro Pozuelo 29'
  • yellowcard Jean Mota 34'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
May 22, 2022 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
NY Red Bulls
  • Gregore 23' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 29' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 54' yellowcard
  • Robert Taylor 88' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Long 60'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 81'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nealis 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
NY Red Bulls
Oct 9, 2021 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Inter Miami
  • Patryk Klimala 25' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sami Guediri 74'

Form Data

New England 1 - 4 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 3 - 1 Nashville
Kansas 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Monterrey 3 - 1 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Colorado
Inter Miami 1 - 2 Monterrey
NY Red Bulls 1 - 1 Vancouver
Los Angeles 2 - 2 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 0 - 0 Chicago Fire
Cincinnati 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Orlando City 1 - 1 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 4 - 0 Inter Miami