Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 52.72% ( | 24.88% | 22.4% |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( | 52.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( | 74.22% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% | 19.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( | 52.05% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( | 38.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.87% | 75.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% 2-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.71% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.32% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.4% |