Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
61.57% ( 0.25) | 20.77% ( -0.07) | 17.65% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.52% ( -0.02) | 41.47% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.12% ( -0.02) | 63.87% ( 0.02) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.03% ( 0.07) | 12.97% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.54% ( 0.14) | 39.46% ( -0.14) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( -0.23) | 36.96% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.24% ( -0.23) | 73.75% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-0 @ 10% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.58% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 17.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 53 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 41 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 34 |
8 | Toronto | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 30 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 28 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 27 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
13 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 25 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 49 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 44 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 37 |
7 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 37 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 36 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 33 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Dallas | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 24 |
13 | St Louis City | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 14 |