Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 61.57% ( | 20.77% ( | 17.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( | 41.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( | 63.87% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% ( | 12.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.54% ( | 39.46% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( | 36.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( | 73.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 5-1 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.58% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 1-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 17.65% |