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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
St Louis City

Cincinnati
3 - 1
St Louis City

Acosta (26' pen.), Kubo (49'), Santos (80')
Murphy (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miazga (54' og.)
Kijima (35'), Adeniran (44'), Ostrak (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 St Louis City

While St Louis City do have the tools to make things tough for their hosts, FC Cincinnati find themselves in a fine run of form and will head into the weekend with plenty of confidence and momentum on their side. With home advantage and plenty of quality at both ends of the pitch, we back Pat Noonan's men to make it six wins on the bounce on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
66.89% (1.879 1.88) 19.07% (-0.212 -0.21) 14.04% (-1.667 -1.67)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-3.607 -3.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (-2.621 -2.62)40.85% (2.621 2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (-2.732 -2.73)63.23% (2.732 2.73)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (-0.259 -0.26)11.31% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05% (-0.568 -0.57)35.95% (0.569 0.57)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-3.884 -3.88)41.2% (3.884 3.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-3.634 -3.63)77.73% (3.634 3.63)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 66.88%
    St Louis City 14.04%
    Draw 19.07%
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.06% (1.06 1.06)
1-0 @ 10.15% (1.069 1.07)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.04% (0.695 0.69)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.38% (0.336 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.407 -0.41)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 9% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.536 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.07%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs St Louis City

FC Cincinnati
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 3.49am
St Louis City
5-1
Cincinnati
Stroud (3'), Lowen (39'), Hiebert (45+2'), Gioacchini (53'), Celentano (57' og.)
Santos (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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