Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 12, 2024 12.45am
Columbus Crew 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 12, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 3 DC United
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Saba Lobzhanidze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

FC Cincinnati 53.78% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 22.6% ▲ (+0.26)
Atlanta United 23.62% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.15% ▼ (-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.36% ▼ (-1.30)
Under 2.5 41.63% ▲ (+1.30)
Over 3.5 35.97% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 3.5 64.03% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 4.5 18.99% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 4.5 81.01% ▲ (+1.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 84.53% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 0.5 15.47% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 55.66% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 1.5 44.34% ▲ (+0.94)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 68.79% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 0.5 31.21% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 1.5 32.44% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 1.5 67.55% ▲ (+0.96)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 53.78%
Draw 22.6%
Atlanta United 23.62%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.37)
2-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 53.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.28)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.6%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 23.62%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Dominique Badji 25' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45'+2' goal
  • Matt Miazga 73' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 12'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 36'
  • redcard Thiago Almada 51'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 85'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Edwin Mosquera 10' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 10' goal
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' yellowcard
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 72' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 41'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 41'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 75'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 75'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Atlanta
  • Alvaro Barreal 14' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 29' goal
  • Brenner 41' goal
  • Matt Miazga 58' yellowcard
  • Tyler Blackett 78' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 17'
  • yellowcard Caleb Wiley 27'
  • goal Andrew Gutman 83'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 16, 2022 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cincinnati
  • Thiago Almada 8' yellowcard
  • Amar Sejdic 42' yellowcard
  • George Campbell 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 44'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 45'
  • redcard Nick Hagglund 77'
  • yellowcard Dominique Badji 90'+4'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Zico Bailey 21' goal
  • Caleb Stanko 33' yellowcard
  • Ronald Matarrita 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Hernandez 64'
  • goal Miles Robinson 70'
  • goal Josef Martinez 79'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 86'

Form Data

Columbus Crew 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Orlando City 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Colorado
Atlanta 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Montreal 2 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Atlanta 2 - 3 DC United
Atlanta 1 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Atlanta 2 - 2 Philadelphia
NY City 1 - 1 Atlanta