Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 12.45am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Arfsten (89', 89')
Zawadzki (38'), Zawadzki (38'), Camacho (80'), Camacho (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelsy (74', 74'), Acosta (76', 76')
Miazga (34'), Miazga (34'), Kubo (37'), Kubo (37'), Nwobodo (70'), Nwobodo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Monterrey 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 2 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	FC Cincinnati
53.62% ( 0.03)	22.61%	23.77% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.28% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.46% (

-0.04)

41.54% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.06% (

-0.04)

63.94% (

0.04)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51% (

-0)

15.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.62% (

-0)

44.38% (

0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96% (

-0.05)

31.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.65% (

-0.06)

67.35% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 53.62%

FC Cincinnati 23.77%

Draw 22.61%

Columbus Crew	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.62%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 23.77%