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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.45am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Arfsten (89')
Zawadzki (38'), Camacho (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelsy (74'), Acosta (76')
Miazga (34'), Kubo (37'), Nwobodo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 2 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 FC Cincinnati

Columbus' record in this fixture coupled with their home form makes them huge favourites to come out on top here. We are backing the hosts to secure maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
53.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 22.61%23.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)41.54% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)63.94% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.49% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)31.04% (0.052000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)67.35% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 53.62%
    FC Cincinnati 23.77%
    Draw 22.61%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06%
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
FC Cincinnati
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-3
Columbus Crew
Vazquez (14'), Acosta (45+3')
Acosta (73'), Badji (82'), Vazquez (99'), Mosquera (117')
Powell (75' og.), Rossi (86'), Ramirez (115')
Moreira (45+2'), Gressel (120+1')
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-2
Columbus Crew
Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')
Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bills
23-20
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami33218473472671
2Columbus Crew33189669383163
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati33175115647956
4Orlando City331571158481052
5New York City FCNY City33148115447750
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC33139114337648
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls33111485347647
8DC United331010135267-1540
9CF MontrealMontreal331010134664-1840
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia33910146153837
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta33910144448-437
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3389163554-1933
14New England RevolutionNew England3394203568-3331
15Chicago Fire3379174059-1930

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy33197768482064
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles33187860421861
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake331511763471656
4Seattle SoundersSeattle33168950341656
5Houston DynamoHouston33149104538751
6Colorado RapidsColorado33155135957250
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd33147125448649
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver33138125147447
9Portland TimbersPortland331210116455946
10Austin FCAustin33109143646-1039
11Dallas33108155255-338
12St Louis City33813124959-1037
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3387185064-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3363244075-3521


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