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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.05am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
DC United

Inter Miami
1 - 0
DC United

Campana (90+4')
Rojas (30'), Campana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Birnbaum (20'), Benteke (26'), McVey (48'), Klich (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 DC United

If Messi cannot go as anticipated, the Herons could have difficulty creating some dangerous scoring opportunities, as we saw in their midweek affair. Whether he plays or not, Miami have not proven to be consistently strong at the back, and they will be facing one of the deadliest strikers in the league in Christian Benteke, who we believe will make the difference for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for DC United had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawDC United
56.13% (-6.704 -6.7) 21.52% (2.383 2.38) 22.34% (4.312 4.31)
Both teams to score 60.27% (-1.363 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93% (-5.048 -5.05)38.06% (5.039 5.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.66% (-5.587 -5.59)60.33% (5.577 5.58)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (-3.395 -3.4)13.49% (3.385 3.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (-7.262 -7.26)40.51% (7.252 7.25)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (1.107 1.11)30.32% (-1.118 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (1.307 1.31)66.5% (-1.317 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 56.13%
    DC United 22.34%
    Draw 21.52%
Inter MiamiDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.138 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.914 0.91)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.84 -0.84)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.897 -0.9)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.367 -0.37)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.954 -0.95)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.911 -0.91)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.493 -0.49)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.628 -0.63)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.576 -0.58)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 9.78% (1.354 1.35)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.257 0.26)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.915 0.92)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.96 0.96)
0-1 @ 4.88% (1.206 1.21)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.786 0.79)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.44 0.44)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.338 0.34)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs DC United

Inter Miami
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
DC United
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
DC United
1-3
Inter Miami
Stroud (14')
McVey (21'), Pirani (27'), Herrera (34'), Peltola (68'), Klich (74')
Santos (90')
Campana (24'), Suarez (72', 85')
Aviles (28'), Busquets (55'), Gomez (79')
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Inter Miami
Fountas (65'), Robertha (77')
Rodrigo Asad (17'), Fountas (70'), Pines (90')
Cremaschi (59'), Allen (68')
Arroyo (2'), Krivtsov (45+6'), Ruiz (90+4')
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
1-2
DC United
Fray (90+2')
Jean (12'), Fray (71'), Campana (81'), Yedlin (89')
Miller (7')
Pines (76'), Benteke (90')
Santos (12'), Benteke (45+1')
Sep 18, 2022 10pm
May 15, 2022 2.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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