Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.22% ( -0.28) | 24.49% ( -0.03) | 32.29% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 58.54% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% ( 0.23) | 44.21% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.42% ( 0.23) | 66.58% ( -0.22) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.43% ( -0.03) | 20.57% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.91% ( -0.04) | 53.09% ( 0.05) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( 0.31) | 26.31% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.57% ( 0.41) | 61.43% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 32.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |