Major League Soccer

Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Citi Field

NY City
2 - 0
DC United

Rodriguez (20', 20'), Fernandez (90+1', 90+1')
Bakrar (63'), Bakrar (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Akinmboni (34'), Akinmboni (34'), Bartlett (50'), Bartlett (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	DC United
58.82% ( 0.04)	22.59% ( 0)	18.58% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52% (

-0.06)

48% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83% (

-0.05)

70.17% (

0.06)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

-0.01)

15.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.72% (

-0.02)

45.28% (

0.02)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24% (

-0.08)

39.76% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

-0.07)

76.43% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 58.82%

DC United 18.58%

Draw 22.59%

New York City FC	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.82%	1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.59%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.58%