Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.