Major League Soccer

May 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
3 - 1
Dallas

Joveljic (4', 4', 66' pen., 66' pen.), Puig (90+4', 90+4')
Yoshida (89'), Yoshida (89')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Delgado (22', 22')
Delgado (19'), Delgado (19'), Burgess (34'), Burgess (34'), Arriola (35'), Arriola (35'), Farfan (45+4'), Farfan (45+4')
Burgess (82'), Burgess (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Houston
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 3-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Dallas
55.31% ( 0.27)	21.51% ( -0.04)	23.18% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 61.47% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63% (

-0.06)

37.01% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.81% (

-0.07)

59.19% (

0.07)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

0.06)

13.39% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.69% (

0.13)

40.31% (

-0.12)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97% (

-0.22)

29.03% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

-0.28)

64.93% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 55.31%

Dallas 23.18%

Draw 21.51%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.78% Total : 55.31%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 23.18%